Terms and Conditions

PsyMaptic (psymaptic.org, psymaptic.com, psymaptic.co.uk) provides open-use epidemiological prediction models which provide forecasts for the expected count and incidence of psychiatric disorders.

Models for all psychiatric disorders has undergone academic peer review prior publication on this website. Nevertheless, by their very nature predictions contain a degree of error, which must be taken into consideration when using our tool. Users are advised to read the accompanying peer-reviewed publication for each model prior to using the data provided on this website. Users are also recommended to read the methodology documentation and user guide provided on this website prior to using our prediction models.

It is also vital to note that our tool forecasts the expected incidence of clinically-relevant first episode psychoses in different regions of England and Wales per year. Actual demand for psychosis services, including EIS, may be significantly higher, given a proportion of people who will present to services with some level of psychopathological need, but who may not be in their first episode of a psychotic disorder.

By accepting the Terms of Use, you agree to have understood the risks and limitations involved in using the predictions provided by our methodology. These risks and limitations include, but are not limited to, the nature of statistical prediction models which provide an inherent degree of uncertainty around any forecast of future events. Prediction estimates should always be used in conjunction with the range of uncertainty around that estimate, measured as prediction error and reported via 95% prediction intervals. Our models are based on a number of assumptions, which by accepting these Terms of Use, you agree to. We accept no responsibility for any instances where the observed count or rate of disorder is different from that forecast by our models, for any region or regions, or for any given sociodemographic group or groups.

By accepting are Terms of Use, you agree that we shall not be held liable in the event that the observed count of cases in any given region or sociodemographic group, however broad or specific, differs from that forecast by our models.

We reserve the right to update prediction models to improve forecasting at any point. All updates will be documented on this website, indicated via version numbers. Prior to use, you hereby agree that you have read and understood the methodology used in generating the forecasts presented here. Major changes to the forecast methodology will have undergone additional academic peer-review. Other updates to the models, including the addition of new empirical data, will not necessarily have undergone peer review, but will have adhered to the methodology described in our peer-reviewed publications.

You, the end user, may use the data provided here for any legal and ethically-approved purpose, including, but not limited to healthcare planning, health economics, health service commissioning, health services research, epidemiology, aetiological research and public health.

By using the predictions provided here you accept the assumptions, risks and limitations inherent in forecasting, as set forth, but not limited to those issues described in the accompanying documentation and peer-reviewed publications which describe this work. You agree that we, the developers of PsyMaptic models, will not be held liable or otherwise accountable for any adverse outcome which emanates from the use of the models and forecasts provided here.

Copyright of this tool belongs to Dr James Kirkbride, Professor Peter Jones and Dr Dan Jackson.

You are asked to agree to these terms and conditions before viewing our prediction data.